Većinu oboljelih zarazile osobe bez ikakvih simptoma, stvarni broj zaraženih daleko je veći

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To bi moglo značiti da je stvarni broj zaraženih koronavirusom u svijetu trenutno oko 1,5 milijuna ljudi

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</span><script async="async" src="https://ad.vidverto.io/vidverto/js/aries/v1/invocation.js" fetchpriority="high"></script> <div id="_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55"></div> <script> (() => { window.aries = window.aries || {}; window.aries.v1 = window.aries.v1 || { commands: [] }; const aries = window.aries.v1; aries.commands.push(() => { const zoneId = '8222'; const anchor = document.getElementById('_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55'); anchor.removeAttribute('id'); aries.mount(zoneId, anchor, { width: 720, height: 405, }); }); })(); </script> <p>Više od dvije trećine infekcija <strong>Covidom-19</strong> mogli bi proširiti ljudi čija zaraza koronavirusom nije detektirana, pokazalo je istraživanje američkih znanstvenika objavljeno u časopisu <strong>Science</strong>. <p>Stručnjaci za javno zdravstvo <strong>Sveučilišta Columbia</strong> koristili su matematički model koji se temelji na analizi prijavljenih slučajeva zaraze koronavirusom i njezinim širenjem unutar Kine u kombinaciji s podacima o mobilnosti ljudi od 10. do 23. siječnja, kada je kineska vlada pretvorila Wuhan u karantenu te od 24. siječnja do 8. veljače. Otkrili su da je prije nego što je kineska vlada zabranila putovanja u Wuhan i izvan njega, čak šest od sedam slučajeva Covida-19, odnosno 86 posto, vjerojatno ostalo neotkriveno.</p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v2"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <p>Eksplozija slučajeva Covida-19 u Kini uvelike su pokrenuli pojedinci s blagim, ograničenim ili nikakvim simptomima, koji su ostali neprimijećeni izjavio je jedan od autora studije, <strong>Jeffrey Shaman</strong> sa Sveučilišta Columbia. <p><strong>Vrh ledenog brijega</strong></p> <p>To bi moglo značiti da je stvarni broj zaraženih koronavirusom u svijetu trenutno oko <strong>1,5 milijuna ljudi.</strong></p> <p>“Znamo daje ovo samo vrh ledenog brijega. Pitanje je koliko je ledenog brijega potopljeno. Možemo raspravljati o točnom broju, ali ako niste na mjestu na kojem proaktivno tražite potencijalno zaražene ljude i zatim ih testirate, većina infekcija neće biti otkrivena”, naglasio je Shaman na konferenciji za novinare.</p> <p>Pojačana svijest o epidemiji, raširena primjena osobnih mjera zaštite i ograničenje putovanja pomogli su smanjenju ukupne snage infekcije. Međutim, nejasno je hoće li to smanjenje biti dovoljno za potpuno zaustavljanje širenja virusa, ustvrdio je Shaman.</p> <p>Temeljem analize epidemije u Kini, jedinoj zemlji u kojoj je zaraza u silaznoj putanji, ustanovljeno je da jedna zaražena osoba prosječno zarazi oko 2,5 drugih osoba. Bez ograničenja kretanja u 30 dana samo ta jedna osoba zarazi 406 drugih osoba. Smanji li pak kontakte za polovicu, u istih 30 dana broj onih koje je zarazila pada na samo 15 osoba.</p> <div class="js-article-end">Vijesti.hr</div> </p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v3"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <div class="post-tags"><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/koronavirus/">Koronavirus</a></div><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/simptomi/">simptomi</a></div><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/zarazeni/">zaraženi</a></div></div> <div class="share-meta-container"><div class="article-meta"> <div class="editor"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 640 512" viewBox="0 0 640 512"><path d="M224 256c70.7 0 128-57.3 128-128S294.7 0 224 0 96 57.3 96 128s57.3 128 128 128zm-45.7 48C79.8 304 0 383.8 0 482.3 0 498.7 13.3 512 29.7 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