Većinu oboljelih zarazile osobe bez ikakvih simptoma, stvarni broj zaraženih daleko je veći

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To bi moglo značiti da je stvarni broj zaraženih koronavirusom u svijetu trenutno oko 1,5 milijuna ljudi

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</span><script async="async" src="https://ad.vidverto.io/vidverto/js/aries/v1/invocation.js" fetchpriority="high"></script> <div id="_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55"></div> <script> (function() { function loadVidverto() { window.aries = window.aries || {}; window.aries.v1 = window.aries.v1 || { commands: [] }; const aries = window.aries.v1; aries.commands.push(() => { const zoneId = '8222'; const anchor = document.getElementById('_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55'); anchor.removeAttribute('id'); aries.mount(zoneId, anchor, { width: 720, height: 405, }); }); } if (document.readyState === "complete") { loadVidverto(); } else { window.onload = loadVidverto; } })(); </script> <p>Više od dvije trećine infekcija <strong>Covidom-19</strong> mogli bi proširiti ljudi čija zaraza koronavirusom nije detektirana, pokazalo je istraživanje američkih znanstvenika objavljeno u časopisu <strong>Science</strong>. <p>Stručnjaci za javno zdravstvo <strong>Sveučilišta Columbia</strong> koristili su matematički model koji se temelji na analizi prijavljenih slučajeva zaraze koronavirusom i njezinim širenjem unutar Kine u kombinaciji s podacima o mobilnosti ljudi od 10. do 23. siječnja, kada je kineska vlada pretvorila Wuhan u karantenu te od 24. siječnja do 8. veljače. Otkrili su da je prije nego što je kineska vlada zabranila putovanja u Wuhan i izvan njega, čak šest od sedam slučajeva Covida-19, odnosno 86 posto, vjerojatno ostalo neotkriveno.</p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v2"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <p>Eksplozija slučajeva Covida-19 u Kini uvelike su pokrenuli pojedinci s blagim, ograničenim ili nikakvim simptomima, koji su ostali neprimijećeni izjavio je jedan od autora studije, <strong>Jeffrey Shaman</strong> sa Sveučilišta Columbia. <p><strong>Vrh ledenog brijega</strong></p> <p>To bi moglo značiti da je stvarni broj zaraženih koronavirusom u svijetu trenutno oko <strong>1,5 milijuna ljudi.</strong></p> <p>“Znamo daje ovo samo vrh ledenog brijega. Pitanje je koliko je ledenog brijega potopljeno. Možemo raspravljati o točnom broju, ali ako niste na mjestu na kojem proaktivno tražite potencijalno zaražene ljude i zatim ih testirate, većina infekcija neće biti otkrivena”, naglasio je Shaman na konferenciji za novinare.</p> <p>Pojačana svijest o epidemiji, raširena primjena osobnih mjera zaštite i ograničenje putovanja pomogli su smanjenju ukupne snage infekcije. Međutim, nejasno je hoće li to smanjenje biti dovoljno za potpuno zaustavljanje širenja virusa, ustvrdio je Shaman.</p> <p>Temeljem analize epidemije u Kini, jedinoj zemlji u kojoj je zaraza u silaznoj putanji, ustanovljeno je da jedna zaražena osoba prosječno zarazi oko 2,5 drugih osoba. Bez ograničenja kretanja u 30 dana samo ta jedna osoba zarazi 406 drugih osoba. Smanji li pak kontakte za polovicu, u istih 30 dana broj onih koje je zarazila pada na samo 15 osoba.</p> <div class="js-article-end">Vijesti.hr</div> </p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v3"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <div class="post-tags"><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/koronavirus/">Koronavirus</a></div><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/simptomi/">simptomi</a></div><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/zarazeni/">zaraženi</a></div></div> <div class="share-meta-container"><div class="article-meta"> <div class="editor"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 640 512" viewBox="0 0 640 512"><path d="M224 256c70.7 0 128-57.3 128-128S294.7 0 224 0 96 57.3 96 128s57.3 128 128 128zm-45.7 48C79.8 304 0 383.8 0 482.3 0 498.7 13.3 512 29.7 512h293.1c-3.1-8.8-3.7-18.4-1.4-27.8l15-60.1c2.8-11.3 8.6-21.5 16.8-29.7l40.3-40.3c-32.1-31-75.7-50.1-123.9-50.1h-91.3zm435.5-68.3c-15.6-15.6-40.9-15.6-56.6 0l-29.4 29.4 71 71 29.4-29.4c15.6-15.6 15.6-40.9 0-56.6l-14.4-14.4zM375.9 417c-4.1 4.1-7 9.2-8.4 14.9l-15 60.1c-1.4 5.5.2 11.2 4.2 15.2s9.7 5.6 15.2 4.2l60.1-15c5.6-1.4 10.8-4.3 14.9-8.4l129.2-129.3-71-71L375.9 417z" class="meta-icon"/></svg></span><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/autor/riportal-hr/" title="Objave od: Riportal.hr" rel="author">Riportal.hr</a></div> <div class="column-date"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 448 512" viewBox="0 0 448 512"><path d="M96 32v32H48C21.5 64 0 85.5 0 112v48h448v-48c0-26.5-21.5-48-48-48h-48V32c0-17.7-14.3-32-32-32s-32 14.3-32 32v32H160V32c0-17.7-14.3-32-32-32S96 14.3 96 32zm352 160H0v272c0 26.5 21.5 48 48 48h352c26.5 0 48-21.5 48-48V192z" class="meta-icon"/></svg></span>20.03.2020.</div> <div class="column-time"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 512 512" viewBox="0 0 512 512"><path d="M256 512C114.6 512 0 397.4 0 256S114.6 0 256 0s256 114.6 256 256-114.6 256-256 256zm-24-392v136c0 8 4 15.5 10.7 20l96 64c11 7.4 25.9 4.4 33.3-6.7s4.4-25.9-6.7-33.3L280 243.2V120c0-13.3-10.7-24-24-24s-24 10.7-24 24z" class="meta-icon"/></svg></span>10:24</div> </div> <div class="share-buttons"> <div class="facebook"><a onclick="window.open('https://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/koronavirus/vecinu-oboljelih-zarazile-osobe-bez-ikakvih-simptoma-stvarni-broj-zarazenih-daleko-je-veci/157323/','Facebook','width=600,height=300,left='+(screen.availWidth/2-300)+',top='+(screen.availHeight/2-150)+''); return false;" href="http://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/koronavirus/vecinu-oboljelih-zarazile-osobe-bez-ikakvih-simptoma-stvarni-broj-zarazenih-daleko-je-veci/157323/" title="Podijeli na Facebooku"></a></div> <div class="twitter"><a target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Trenutno čitam Većinu oboljelih zarazile osobe bez ikakvih simptoma, stvarni broj zaraženih daleko je veći&url=https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/koronavirus/vecinu-oboljelih-zarazile-osobe-bez-ikakvih-simptoma-stvarni-broj-zarazenih-daleko-je-veci/157323/" title="Podijeli na X"></a></div> <div class="viber"><a href="viber://forward?text='Većinu oboljelih zarazile osobe bez ikakvih simptoma, stvarni broj zaraženih daleko je veći' - 'https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/koronavirus/vecinu-oboljelih-zarazile-osobe-bez-ikakvih-simptoma-stvarni-broj-zarazenih-daleko-je-veci/157323/'" title="Podijeli na Viberu"></a></div> <div class="whatsapp"><a href="whatsapp://send?text='Većinu oboljelih zarazile osobe bez ikakvih simptoma, stvarni broj zaraženih daleko je veći' - 'https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/koronavirus/vecinu-oboljelih-zarazile-osobe-bez-ikakvih-simptoma-stvarni-broj-zarazenih-daleko-je-veci/157323/'" data-action="share/whatsapp/share" title="Podijeli na Whatsapp"></a></div> <div class="toemail"><a href="mailto:?subject=Pogledaj ovo! 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