Novi CRO Demoskop: Preokret na vrhu, Restart koalicija u prednosti nad HDZ-om! Milanović najnegativniji

Ekskluzivno istraživanje RTL-a i Promocije plus donosi CRO Demoskop za lipanj

</span></p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v1"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699840032-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699840032-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <p>HDZ više nije prvi izbor birača u Hrvatskoj, pokazuje najnovije mjesečno istraživanje političkih preferencija <strong>CRO Demoskop</strong>, koje je za <strong>RTL</strong> početkom lipnja provela agencija <strong>Promocija plus.</strong> Rezultate istraživanja mjesec dana prije <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/">parlamentarnih izbora</a> donosi i analizira <strong>Damira Gregoret</strong>.<script async="async" src="https://ad.vidverto.io/vidverto/js/aries/v1/invocation.js" fetchpriority="high"></script> <div id="_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55"></div> <script> (() => { window.aries = window.aries || {}; window.aries.v1 = window.aries.v1 || { commands: [] }; const aries = window.aries.v1; aries.commands.push(() => { const zoneId = '8222'; const anchor = document.getElementById('_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55'); anchor.removeAttribute('id'); aries.mount(zoneId, anchor, { width: 720, height: 405, }); }); })(); </script> <h3>Promjena na vrhu</h3> <p><strong>Koaliciju SDP-a, HSS-a, HSU, GLAS-a i SNAGE</strong> zaokružilo bi najviše ispitanika, <strong>27,2 posto</strong>. Sam <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/3822494/socijaldemokrati-u-lovu-na-treci-mandat-povijest-potvrdjuje-da-sdp-nikad-ne-treba-podcijeniti/"><strong>SDP</strong></a> prošlog je mjeseca imao nešto viši rejting od ovog koji sada ima koalicija (27,8 posto), ali <strong>HDZ</strong> je tada imao 30,2 posto, a sada su drugi izbor s potporom od <strong>26,6 posto</strong>. Dodajmo ovome da je istraživanje provedeno prije nego je <strong>IDS</strong> objavio da se pridružuje Restart koaliciji. <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/c/5/4/5/c545e775877c79f6ae51ac24499894d3.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Afera vjetroelektrane očito je naštetila rejtingu vladajuće stranke iako je prednost <strong>Restart koalicije</strong> na razini stastističke pogreške.</p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v2"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <p>Treća snaga ostaje <strong>Domovinski pokret Miroslava Škore</strong> kojem su se pridružili <strong>Suverenisti</strong>, <strong>Blok za Hrvatsku</strong> i <strong>BURA</strong>, odabralo bi ih <strong>13,5 posto</strong> ispitanika; što je tri postotna boda više nego u svibnju, prije dogovora s partnerima (Domovinski pokret tada je sam bio izbor 10,1 posto birača). <h3>Na granici izbornog praga</h3> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/b/a/7/3/ba73f066834eac3761be64997ae26b8c.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Listu <strong>Mosta</strong> planira zaokružiti nešto više od četiri posto ispitanika (4,1%). Peti izbor s 2,4 posto potpore je lijevo-zelena koalicija okupljena oko platforme <strong>Možemo</strong> (<strong>Možemo-Zagreb je naš-Nova ljevica-Orah-Radnička fronta</strong>), a sličan rejting imaju <strong>Stranka s imenom i prezimenom</strong> (1,9%) i koalicija <strong>Fokusa i stranke Pametno</strong> (1,8%).</p> <h3>Neodlučnih gotovo 12 posto</h3> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/2/5/0/d/250df5291cff426025610ef9a4d7b9f2.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Ispod toga su <strong>ŽIVI ZID</strong> i <strong>Promijenimo Hrvatsku</strong> (<strong>1,7%</strong>), pa <strong>Stranka Ivana Pernara</strong> i <strong>IDS</strong> (sa po <strong>1,4</strong>% podrške) koji je doduše jučer dogovorio da na izbore izlazi unutar Restart koalicije. <strong>HNS</strong> je na <strong>1,1</strong> <strong>posto</strong> podrške.</p> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/4/8/4/8/484804ee8d2d7061e73215872a848df5.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Na sličnoj su razini i stranka zagrebačkog gradonačelnika <strong>BM 365</strong> (<strong>1,0%</strong>) i koalicija <strong>Demokrata</strong> i <strong>Hrvatskih laburista</strong> (<strong>1,0%</strong>). Unatoč velikom broju opcija, četiri tjedna prije izbora <strong>neodlučnih</strong> je <strong>11,9 posto</strong> – značajan prostor za pridobivanje naklonosti.</p> <h3>Najpozitivniji Andrej Plenković</h3> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/8/c/d/7/8cd782fdba5198c9158591de7c9cab3f.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Najveću naklonost ispitanika i ovoga je mjeseca dobio predsjednik Vlade i HDZ-a <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3820172/tko-je-andrej-plenkovic-optuzivali-su-ga-da-je-ljevicar-i-europski-poslusnik-on-ide-po-jos-jednu-pobjedu/"><strong>Andrej Plenković</strong></a> – iako bilježi blagi pad, najpozitivnijim političarom vidi ga gotovo petina ispitanika (19,4%, pad s 20% u svibnju).</p> <p>Značajniji pad (-3,3%) bilježi rejting predsjednika Republike <strong>Zorana Milanovića</strong>, ali je i dalje drugi izbor s 15,3 posto. I treće mjesto je isto – ministar zdravstva, ali <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3819780/tko-je-vili-beros-nacionalni-heroj-i-hdz-ov-adut-na-izborima/"><strong>Viliju Berošu</strong></a> osobni rejting ponovno se – prepolovio (s 15,4% na 8,1%).</p><div id="midasWidget__10643"></div><script async src="https://cdn2.midas-network.com/Scripts/midasWidget-11-673-10643.js"></script> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/9/c/7/8/9c786badf2f9179715b594a39f0fb7a5.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Slijede <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3820288/tko-je-miroslav-skoro-glazbenik-i-poduzetnik-koji-je-ponovno-otkrio-politiku/"><strong>Miroslav Škoro</strong></a> s nešto više od pet posto (5,3%), <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3819796/tko-je-davor-bernardic-genijalac-u-fizici-ali-u-politici-jos-uvijek-nedorecen-i-neostvaren/"><strong>Davor Bernardić</strong></a> koji ima dvostruko manje (2,4%), slično kao i <strong>Zdravko Marić</strong> (2,2%).</p> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/7/5/4/7/75478f17974984992c422e1df23e0ae9.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Za 17,8% posto ispitanika, unatoč brojnim starim i novim političarima na sceni, najpopularniji je i dalje – <strong>Nitko</strong>. Ne zna 11,3 posto.</p> <h3>Najveći negativac – Zoran Milanović</h3> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/4/1/7/4/41744eda7087928c234252f124903824.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Što se tiče neprestižne ljestvice najnepopularnijih političara, tu su vidljive velike promjene jer je dvojac koji vodi <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/3827728/analiza-sukoba-dva-brda-zoran-milanovic-je-glavni-saveznik-andreja-plenkovica-u-izbornoj-utrci/"><strong>verbalni rat</strong></a> zauzeo vrh ljestvice.</p> <p>Najnegativniji političar je predsjednik <strong>Zoran Milanović (14,8%) </strong>i ovo je njegov najlošiji rezultat u posljednjih godinu dana. Za vratom mu puše predsjednik Vlade <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3820172/tko-je-andrej-plenkovic-optuzivali-su-ga-da-je-ljevicar-i-europski-poslusnik-on-ide-po-jos-jednu-pobjedu/"><strong>Andrej Plenković</strong></a> kojeg također više ispitanika negativno ocjenjuje (<strong>14,7%</strong>). Ovaj dvojac istisnuo je iz negativnog fokusa zagrebačkog gradonačelnika <a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3822778/tko-je-milan-bandic-neunistivi-gradonacelnik-i-vrijedni-sakupljac-zetoncica-i-afera/"><strong>Milana Bandića</strong></a> koji je protekla dva mjeseca bio najnegativniji političar, a sada je treći izbor uz pad negativnog doživljaja (<strong>12,1%</strong>).</p> <p>Čelnik SDP-a i premijerski kandidat Restart koalicije <strong><a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3819796/tko-je-davor-bernardic-genijalac-u-fizici-ali-u-politici-jos-uvijek-nedorecen-i-neostvaren/">Davor Bernardić</a></strong> povećao je negativan doživljaj (<strong>9,3%</strong>), ovo mu je također njegov najlošiji rezultat u posljednjih godinu dana.</p> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/1/2/e/d/12edbd735834c13c30420cc9c39cf288.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Nešto bolje nego u svibnju prolazi <strong><a href="https://www.rtl.hr/vijesti-hr/novosti/hrvatska/parlamentarni-izbori-2020/kljucni-akteri/3819884/tko-je-gordan-jandrokovic-najpodcjenjeniji-ili-najodbojniji-hdz-ov-politicki-kadar/">Gordan Jandroković</a> </strong>(<strong>5,8%</strong>), a na ljestvicu je, uslijed afere Vjetroelektrane, stigla i <strong>Josipa Rimac</strong> (<strong>4,2%</strong>).</p> <p>Da su <strong>negativni svi političari</strong> poručuje gotovo <strong>10 posto</strong> ispitanika (<strong>9,2%</strong>).</p> <h3>Optimizam u padu</h3> <p>Za kraj – nakon travanjskog nezapamćenog skoka pozitivne ocjene smjera kretanja zemlje, optimizam je u svibnju, s jenjavanjem korona krize, počeo padati, a pad optimizma se nastavlja i u lipnju. S 51,2% u travnju pozitivna ocjena smjera kretanja zemlje pala je na 34,4% u svibnju te na 25,1% u lipnju.</p> <p><img decoding="async" src="https://rtl-static.cdn.sysbee.net/repository/images/e/1/5/f/e15f59ac5b5f7c49e61d5bb3d2fe1383.jpg?v=21" alt="" />Sve su ovo važni pokazatelji trendova, nakon raspuštanja Sabora i raspisivanja izbora koji će se održati za manje od mjesec dana. Istraživanje je provedeno od 2. do 5. lipnja na uzorku od 1300 ispitanika kao da je cijela država jedna izborna jedinica čime se, kroz rezultate, mogu iščitavati trendovi. U tjednu uoći parlamentarnih izbora agencija <strong>Promocija plus</strong> za <strong>RTL</strong> će provesti istraživanje u svih 10 izbornih jedinica koje ćemo ekskluzivno donijeti u tjednu uoči izbora.</p> <p><em>Napomena: Istraživanje je provela agencija PROMOCIJA PLUS od 02. do 05. lipnja 2020. CATI metodom (telefonski) na uzorku od 1300 punoljetnih građana Republike Hrvatske.</em></p> <p><em>Standardna pogreška uzorka iznosi +/- 2,77 posto, uz razinu pouzdanosti od 95 posto.</em></p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v3"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <div class="post-tags"><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/ekskluzivno-istrazivanje-rtl-a-i-promocije-plus-donosi-cro-demoskop-za-lipanj/">Ekskluzivno istraživanje RTL-a i Promocije plus donosi CRO Demoskop za lipanj</a></div></div> <div class="share-meta-container"><div class="article-meta"> <div class="editor"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 640 512" viewBox="0 0 640 512"><path d="M224 256c70.7 0 128-57.3 128-128S294.7 0 224 0 96 57.3 96 128s57.3 128 128 128zm-45.7 48C79.8 304 0 383.8 0 482.3 0 498.7 13.3 512 29.7 512h293.1c-3.1-8.8-3.7-18.4-1.4-27.8l15-60.1c2.8-11.3 8.6-21.5 16.8-29.7l40.3-40.3c-32.1-31-75.7-50.1-123.9-50.1h-91.3zm435.5-68.3c-15.6-15.6-40.9-15.6-56.6 0l-29.4 29.4 71 71 29.4-29.4c15.6-15.6 15.6-40.9 0-56.6l-14.4-14.4zM375.9 417c-4.1 4.1-7 9.2-8.4 14.9l-15 60.1c-1.4 5.5.2 11.2 4.2 15.2s9.7 5.6 15.2 4.2l60.1-15c5.6-1.4 10.8-4.3 14.9-8.4l129.2-129.3-71-71L375.9 417z" class="meta-icon"/></svg></span><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/autor/robert/" title="Objave od: R.Z." rel="author">R.Z.</a></div> <div class="column-date"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 448 512" viewBox="0 0 448 512"><path d="M96 32v32H48C21.5 64 0 85.5 0 112v48h448v-48c0-26.5-21.5-48-48-48h-48V32c0-17.7-14.3-32-32-32s-32 14.3-32 32v32H160V32c0-17.7-14.3-32-32-32S96 14.3 96 32zm352 160H0v272c0 26.5 21.5 48 48 48h352c26.5 0 48-21.5 48-48V192z" class="meta-icon"/></svg></span>07.06.2020.</div> <div class="column-time"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 512 512" viewBox="0 0 512 512"><path d="M256 512C114.6 512 0 397.4 0 256S114.6 0 256 0s256 114.6 256 256-114.6 256-256 256zm-24-392v136c0 8 4 15.5 10.7 20l96 64c11 7.4 25.9 4.4 33.3-6.7s4.4-25.9-6.7-33.3L280 243.2V120c0-13.3-10.7-24-24-24s-24 10.7-24 24z" class="meta-icon"/></svg></span>19:10</div> </div> <div class="share-buttons"> <div class="facebook"><a onclick="window.open('https://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/novi-cro-demoskop-preokret-na-vrhu-restart-koalicija-u-prednosti-nad-hdz-om-milanovic-najnegativniji/173757/','Facebook','width=600,height=300,left='+(screen.availWidth/2-300)+',top='+(screen.availHeight/2-150)+''); return false;" href="http://www.facebook.com/sharer.php?u=https://riportal.net.hr/vijesti/novi-cro-demoskop-preokret-na-vrhu-restart-koalicija-u-prednosti-nad-hdz-om-milanovic-najnegativniji/173757/" title="Podijeli na Facebooku"></a></div> <div class="twitter"><a target="_blank" href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet?text=Trenutno čitam Novi CRO Demoskop: Preokret na vrhu, Restart koalicija u prednosti nad HDZ-om! 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