Pitali smo naše najbolje znanstvenike kada će sve ovo završiti, evo što kažu

Čak i kad se broj novozaraženih slučajeva počne smanjivati nije gotovo – niti možemo znati kad će biti

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</span><script async="async" src="https://ad.vidverto.io/vidverto/js/aries/v1/invocation.js" fetchpriority="high"></script> <div id="_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55"></div> <script> (() => { window.aries = window.aries || {}; window.aries.v1 = window.aries.v1 || { commands: [] }; const aries = window.aries.v1; aries.commands.push(() => { const zoneId = '8222'; const anchor = document.getElementById('_vidverto-b83db36f345462e68ef3eada64768e55'); anchor.removeAttribute('id'); aries.mount(zoneId, anchor, { width: 720, height: 405, }); }); })(); </script> <p>Kad znanstvenici jednom pronađu cjepivo – tek onda se možemo opustiti. Inače, prije točno godinu dana, u travnju 2019. svi su pohrlili u kina, film Avengers Endgame iliti Osvetnici Završnica, <strong>srušio je sve rekorde</strong> i zaradio najviše u povijesti filma 2,8 milijardi dolara. <p>Ukratko, superheroji se bore protiv zlikovca Thanosa i od milijuna krivih, samo je jedan ispravan način na koji ga mogu pobijediti. Godinu dana poslije – zlikovac koji želi uništiti planetu <strong>nije fikcija</strong> – samo je puno puno manji – heroji su također stvarni, doktori, medicinske sestre i svi ostali na prvoj liniji – no taj jedan ispravan način za pobjedu još je nepoznat. Kada možemo očekivati “Koronavirus Endgame” istražio je <strong>RTL</strong> <strong>Direkt</strong>.</p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v2"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699903930-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <p>Planove za 2020. stavite na čekanje! Čak i kad se broj novozaraženih slučajeva počne smanjivati nije gotovo – niti možemo znati kad će biti. <p>“Upravo zato je važna poruka danas svim građanima da više ne misle da je virus pobjediv s toplim vremenom, da je virus pobjediv s bilo kakvim vanjskim faktorima i da ćemo imati cjepivo do tada. Odgovor na to je ne i najvažnije je da dok god ne razvijemo cjepivo, a ono će doći najranije krajem ove ili početkom iduće godine. Do tada jedino što funkcionira je imati dobar zdravstveni sustav koji može pomoći oboljelima i držati se striktno svih mjera”, rekao je znanstvenik <strong>Ivan Đikić</strong>.</p> <p>Posljedice kašnjenja sa strožim mjerama vidljive su na primjeru SAD-a gdje je proteklih desetak dana gotovo cijela znanstvena zajednica pozivala predsjednika <strong>Donalda Trumpa</strong> da proglasi opću karantenu, ali on je tu odluku prepuštao guvernerima, a neki od njih su se dugo opirali toj ideji – što je stvorilo dosad neviđen pritisak na bolnice.</p> <p>“Postoji akutni nedostatak kako testova, tako zaštitne opreme, maski, respiratora, ventilatora. I mislim da to stvarno nije dobro. Najkonzervativnija predviđanja kažu da će u sljedeća četiri mjeseca u SAD-u biti između 100.000 i 200.000 mrtvih. Što je jako pogubno za tako razvijenu zemlju”, ističe znanstvenik <strong>Igor Štagljar</strong>.</p> <p>U Hrvatskoj prema najavama članova stožera realno je očekivati da će za nekoliko tjedana se s padom broja zaraženih <strong>ukinuti pojedine mjere</strong>, ali do potpune otvorenosti granica prema drugim državama kao prije koronakrize, neće doći još mjesecima. Drugim riječima, osim domaćih turista koji čine deset posto noćenja – ova turistička sezona vrlo je vjerojatno izgubljena.</p><div id="midasWidget__10643"></div><script async src="https://cdn2.midas-network.com/Scripts/midasWidget-11-673-10643.js"></script> <p>“Ja sam osobno mišljenja da će nakon tri mjeseca izolacije broj tih slučajeva smanjivati do te mjere da će biti <strong>moguće relaksirati</strong> neke mjere izolacije. Npr. jedan dio radno sposobne populacije moći će se vratiti na posao kako bi se smanjio utjecaj na ekonomiju. To ne znači da će se stvari odmah vratiti u normalu”, govori Štagljar, a mišljenje o tom segmentu ima i Đikić:</p> <p>“Potrebna je stvarno discipliniranost, bit će potrebno vjerojatno nošenje maski. Bit će potrebno promijeniti komunikaciju. Prestat ćemo ovo ljeto <strong>biti na plaži u grupama</strong>. Prestat ćemo ovo ljeto svi zajedno sjediti po barovima. Je li to ogromna žrtva jednog ljeta? Ja vjerujem da nije. Jer ako se budemo ponašali ovo ljeto i ovu jesen zajednički djelotvorno, onda ćemo imati sljedeću godinu bolju. Ako se ne budemo pridržavali toga onda ćemo imati problema.”</p> <p>To se vidi i na primjeru <strong>Kine</strong> i <strong>Hong Konga</strong> gdje se pojavio drugi val novooboljelih. Zbog toga je važno biti oprezan i kad prođe vrhunac.</p> <p>“Moram naglasiti da se neće biti moguće vratiti na normalnu dok se neki lijek ne pronađe ili dok se ne <strong>razvije cjepivo</strong> što će biti najmanje za godinu dana. Morat ćemo se naučiti živjeti ovako kako živimo sada u sljedećih 12 mjeseci, ako ne pronađemo neki lijek”, kazao je Štagljar.</p> <p>Đikić također naglašava da 2020. neće biti prema planu.</p> <p>“Ova 2020. neće biti kakvu smo planirali. Moja obitelj i ja smo imali planove kao i sve druge za ljeto i Uskrs. I sve to moramo maknuti jer shvaćamo da samo s tim novim mjerama koje su nam uvedene ćemo moći svladati ovu <strong>pandemiju</strong> <strong>virusom</strong> jer vjerujem da će 2021. godina postati puno normalnija s pojavom cjepiva.”</p> <p>Znanstvenik <strong>Igor Rudan</strong> je objavio i pet ključnih mjera nakon obrane od prvog vala i usporavanja rasta. To je kontinuirano testiranje i odvajanje zaraženih, stvaranje zaštitne mreže neprekidnim testiranjem 10.000 ljudi, <strong>grupiranje stanovništva</strong> i promjena načina rada. Izbjegavanje socijalnog kontakta i karantena za one koji dolaze iz inozemstva. I tehnološka rješenja u vidu obavijesti građanima o koronavirusu. Jer treba izaći iz karantene što prije i planirati već sada jer još uvijek ne znamo ono što ne znamo o koronavirusu i to je najopasnije.</p> <p>Na vrlo je plastičan, ali zanimljiv način objasnio važnost karantene. I to upravo na primjeru tigra koji je pobjegao iz <strong>zoološkog vrta</strong>. Dakle, dvije su opcije. Jedna je da ubije nekoga, a druga da ga se čvrsto pokrije mrežom. I ukoliko dovoljno ljudi na čvrst način bude pridržavalo tu mrežu tigar će biti nemoćan. Isto je s karantenom i koronavirusom. Ukoliko će se ljudi pridržavati svih mjera tada ni koronavirus neće biti toliko moćan.</p> <p>Goran Latković</p> <div class="responsive-ad-container-v3"> <div id="div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0" class="div-gpt"> <script> googletag.cmd.push(function() { googletag.display('div-gpt-ad-1645699951870-0'); }); </script> </div> </div> <div class="post-tags"><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/epidemija/">epidemija</a></div><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/koronavirus/">Koronavirus</a></div><div><a href="https://riportal.net.hr/tag/znanstvenici/">znanstvenici</a></div></div> <div class="share-meta-container"><div class="article-meta"> <div class="editor"><span><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xml:space="preserve" style="enable-background:new 0 0 640 512" viewBox="0 0 640 512"><path d="M224 256c70.7 0 128-57.3 128-128S294.7 0 224 0 96 57.3 96 128s57.3 128 128 128zm-45.7 48C79.8 304 0 383.8 0 482.3 0 498.7 13.3 512 29.7 512h293.1c-3.1-8.8-3.7-18.4-1.4-27.8l15-60.1c2.8-11.3 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